Learning Map
MathematicsProbabilityusually ages 11–13

Experimental probability

Record, describe, and analyse the frequency of outcomes from probability experiments to develop an understanding of relative frequency as an estimate of probability

How to tell they’ve got it

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Try this together

If your child rolls a die 60 times and records the results, can they compare how often each number came up with what they'd expect in theory — and explain why they might not match perfectly?

Where this sits on the map

Stuck here? Check the skills it builds on first. Confident? Here’s what it unlocks.

Builds on
Experimental vs Theoreticalages 10–11The formal KS3 frequency analysis of experimental probability extends the bridging work on long-run behaviour introduced at age 10-11
The Probability Scaleages 11–13Experimental probability requires understanding the 0–1 probability scale first
Experimental probabilitythis skill · ages 11–13
Unlocks
Tree diagramsages 12–14Theoretical probability builds on experience with experimental probability

solid = must come firstdashed = helps

Curriculum alignment

Candidate matches to official curriculum codes — machine-suggested, unreviewed (v0.1).

Show candidate curriculum codes · 3 ACARA · 1 NSW · 3 VIC

Australian Curriculum v9 candidate

AC9M5P02high confidenceYear 5 · Probability

conduct repeated chance experiments including those with and without equally likely outcomes, observe and record the results ; use frequency to compare outcomes and estimate their likelihoods

AC9M5P01high confidenceYear 5 · Probability

list the possible outcomes of chance experiments involving equally likely outcomes and compare to those which are not equally likely

AC9M6P02medium confidenceYear 6 · Probability

conduct repeated chance experiments and run simulations with an increasing number of trials using digital tools; compare observations with expected results and discuss the effect on variation of increasing the number of trials

NSW syllabus codes & stages only

MA3-CHAN-01high confidenceMathematics K-10 · Stage 3

Victorian Curriculum 2.0 codes & levels only

VC2M5P02high confidenceMathematics · Level 5 · Probability strand
VC2M5P01medium confidenceMathematics · Level 5 · Probability strand
VC2M6P02medium confidenceMathematics · Level 6 · Probability strand

These are candidate alignments generated by semantic matching — machine-suggested and unreviewed (v0.1), not official or verified mappings. For official curriculum content see australiancurriculum.edu.au, curriculum.nsw.edu.au and f10.vcaa.vic.edu.au. Don’t rely on them for registration or compliance purposes.

Nearby on the map

All Probability skills →