Learning Map
MathematicsProbabilityusually ages 9–10

Equally Likely Outcomes

Understand that 'equally likely' means every outcome has exactly the same chance of occurring; identify whether a given situation has equally likely outcomes (a fair coin, a fair die, a spinner with equal sections) or unequally likely outcomes (a bag with more of one colour, a spinner with unequal sections)

How to tell they’ve got it

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Can your child tell the difference between a fair situation — like rolling a normal die where every number has the same chance — and an unfair one, like a bag with many more of one colour than another?

Where this sits on the map

Stuck here? Check the skills it builds on first. Confident? Here’s what it unlocks.

Builds on
Ordering Likelihoodsages 9–10Understanding what 'equally likely' means is a specific case of comparing likelihoods that requires the general comparison skill first
Equally Likely Outcomesthis skill · ages 9–10
Unlocks
Probability as a Fractionages 9–10Using fractions to represent probability only makes sense for equally-likely outcomes, so the equally-likely concept must come first
Calculating Simple Probabilityages 10–11The probability formula only applies to situations with equally likely outcomes — this concept must be secure first

solid = must come firstdashed = helps

Curriculum alignment

Candidate matches to official curriculum codes — machine-suggested, unreviewed (v0.1).

Show candidate curriculum codes · 3 ACARA · 2 NSW · 3 VIC

Australian Curriculum v9 candidate

AC9M5P01high confidenceYear 5 · Probability

list the possible outcomes of chance experiments involving equally likely outcomes and compare to those which are not equally likely

AC9M5P02medium confidenceYear 5 · Probability

conduct repeated chance experiments including those with and without equally likely outcomes, observe and record the results ; use frequency to compare outcomes and estimate their likelihoods

AC9M4P02low confidenceYear 4 · Probability

conduct repeated chance experiments to observe relationships between outcomes; identify and describe the variation in results

NSW syllabus codes & stages only

MA3-CHAN-01low confidenceMathematics K-10 · Stage 3
MA2-CHAN-01low confidenceMathematics K-10 · Stage 2

Victorian Curriculum 2.0 codes & levels only

VC2M5P01high confidenceMathematics · Level 5 · Probability strand
VC2M5P02low confidenceMathematics · Level 5 · Probability strand
VC2M4P01low confidenceMathematics · Level 4 · Probability strand

These are candidate alignments generated by semantic matching — machine-suggested and unreviewed (v0.1), not official or verified mappings. For official curriculum content see australiancurriculum.edu.au, curriculum.nsw.edu.au and f10.vcaa.vic.edu.au. Don’t rely on them for registration or compliance purposes.

Nearby on the map

All Probability skills →